Interactive · Hypothetical Scenario · Iran
What A Nuclear Strike On Pickaxe Mountain Would Do Depends On The Wind
Choose A Bomb Size And The Way The Wind Blows; Each Direction Shows How Often It Actually Blew That Way In The Last 10 Novembers. The Fallout Plume Is Recalculated On Our Map, With The Deaths And Doses The Model Gives. This Is A Modelled, Hypothetical Scenario; Nobody Has Confirmed That Such A Strike Is Being Considered.
Bomb Size
Wind Blows
Never Happened
Lethal: 450+ RemRadiation Sickness: 100+ Rem10+ Rem: Raised Cancer Risk1+ Rem: Trace
Deaths In Iran
Radiation Sickness Doses
People In Iran Receiving 100 Rem Or More Over 30 Days.
Fallout Reaching India
Blast
How This Works. Wind directions and how often they occur come from the last ten Novembers, 2016 to 2025: 300 days of Japan Meteorological Agency analyses at 12:00 UTC over Natanz, averaged from about 1.5 km up to the top of each bomb’s cloud. Each direction is run at its typical speed in that data. The plume is drawn with WSEG-10, a Cold War US fallout model (Hanifen, 1980); blast uses Brode’s 1986 surface-burst equations. Deaths combine the Office Of Technology Assessment’s blast rates with a fallout dose at which half of people die of 450 rem, counted on WorldPop’s 2020 population grid for Iran, for people who stay outdoors for 30 days. Sheltering indoors would cut casualties by a factor of 2 to 8. Rain, terrain, fires, medical care and later cancers are left out. Every figure is a modelled estimate, not a prediction.
India, in Maps
By Tushar Gupta · politypolicy.comFree To Use With Credit